Market Breakdown | Nifty & Bank Nifty Face Heavy Selling Amid FII Exit | 1.04.2025

Nifty & Bank Nifty Face Heavy Selling

NSE Indices F&O Analysis: Premium Expansion Amid Bearish Pressure

NIFTY F&O Analysis

NIFTY Spot closed at 23165.7; down by 1.34%%. NIFTY April Future closed at 23321.4; registering a 1.34% loss while maintaining a 155.7-point premium over the spot price. NIFTY April Future premium expanded by 37.4 points, reflecting a shift in market sentiment.
NIFTY April Put-Call ratio (PCR) decreased from 1.249 to 1.202. Max pain level for NIFTY April expiry stayed at 23500 which is the same level as previous session. NIFTY April Expiry CALL option writers are active at 23500, while PUT option writers are also concentrated at 23500. Maximum CALL addition is at 23500 while maximum PUT Open Interest addition was at 23300.

BANKNIFTY F&O Analysis

BANKNIFTY Spot closed at 50827.5; down by 1.26%%. BANKNIFTY April Future closed at 51187.1; registering a 1.26% loss while maintaining a 359.6-point premium over the spot price. BANKNIFTY April future premium expanded by 83.6 points.
BANKNIFTY April Put-Call ratio (PCR) decreased from 0.995 to 0.902. Max pain level for BANKNIFTY April expiry moved to 51400 from previous 51500. April Expiry CALL option writers are active at 53000, while PUT option writers are also concentrated at 53000. Maximum CALL addition is at 55500 while maximum PUT Open Interest addition was at 47000.

FINNIFTY F&O Analysis

FINNIFTY Spot closed at 24529.4; down by 2.01%. FINNIFTY April Future closed at 24686.2; registering a 2.01% loss while maintaining a 156.8-point premium over the spot price. FINNIFTY futures premium expanded by 40.3 points.
FINNIFTY April Put-Call ratio (PCR) decreased from 0.844 to 0.535. Max pain level for FINNIFTY April expiry moved to 24900 from previous 25000. FINNIFTY April Expiry CALL option writers are active at 25500, while PUT option writers are also concentrated at 25500. Maximum CALL addition is at 25500 while maximum PUT Open Interest addition was at 24700.

MIDCPNIFTY F&O Analysis

MIDCPNIFTY Spot closed at 11383.9; down by 1.34%. MIDCPNIFTY April Future closed at 11399.6; registering a 1.34% loss while maintaining a 15.7-point premium over the spot price. MIDCPNIFTY futures premium expanded by 6.9 points.
MIDCPNIFTY April Put-Call ratio (PCR) increased from 0.708 to 0.800. Max pain level for MIDCPNIFTY April expiry moved to 11500 from previous 11550. MIDCPNIFTY April Expiry CALL option writers are active at 12000, while PUT option writers are also concentrated at 11000. Maximum CALL addition is at 11500 while maximum PUT Open Interest addition was at 11400.

FII & DII Cash Market Activity

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) net sold ₹5,901.63 Cr in the cash market.

Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) provided support, buying ₹4,322.58 Cr worth of equities.

FII Derivative Positioning: Signs of Caution

FII Index Future Long Ratio fell from 35.02% to 30.62%, signaling reduced bullish bets.

FII Call Option Long Ratio declined from 53.89% to 52.6%, showing lower confidence in upside movement.

FII Put Option Long Ratio increased from 56.47% to 57.47%, indicating heightened hedging activity.

FII Trading Stats1.04.2528.03.2527.03.25
FII Cash (Provisional Data)-5,901.63-4,352.8211,111.25
Index Future Open Interest Long Ratio30.62%35.02%39.86%
Index Future Volume Long Ratio33.99%33.72%52.41%
Call Option Open Interest Long Ratio52.60%53.89%62.13%
Call Option Volume Long Ratio49.98%49.33%49.94%
Put Option Open Interest Long Ratio57.47%56.47%63.55%
Put Option Volume Long Ratio50.34%49.65%49.87%
Stock Future Open Interest Long Ratio64.07%63.89%64.34%
Stock Future Volume Long Ratio51.54%46.79%50.66%
    
Index FuturesFresh ShortFresh ShortShort Covering
Index OptionsFresh LongFresh ShortLong Covering
    
Nifty FuturesFresh ShortFresh ShortShort Covering
Nifty OptionsFresh LongFresh ShortLong Covering
    
BankNifty FuturesLong CoveringFresh ShortShort Covering
BankNifty OptionsFresh LongFresh ShortShort Covering
    
FinNifty FuturesShort CoveringFresh LongFresh Long
FinNifty OptionsFresh ShortFresh LongLong Covering
    
MidcpNifty FuturesFresh ShortFresh ShortLong Covering
MidcpNifty OptionsFresh LongFresh ShortLong Covering
    
NiftyNxt50 FuturesShort CoveringLong CoveringShort Covering
NiftyNxt50 OptionsFresh LongFresh ShortShort Covering
    
Stock FuturesShort CoveringLong CoveringShort Covering
Stock OptionsFresh ShortFresh ShortLong Covering

Nifty/Sensex Options Analysis : Major Indices | Options Insights

NIFTY Weekly Expiry (3.04.2025)

The NIFTY index closed at 23165.7. The NIFTY weekly expiry for April 3, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 0.629 against previous 0.779. The 25400CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 23500CE and 24000CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 23500CE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 23400CE and 23300CE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 23400PE, 23500PE, and 23550PE options. Trading volume was highest in the 23500CE option, followed by the 23200PE and 23000PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

NIFTYWeekly Expiry:03-04-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         23,165.70                0.629                  0.779               0.919
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL: 21,71,82,900   15,49,30,575   6,22,52,325
 PUT: 13,66,12,800   12,07,24,800   1,58,88,000
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,400    1,65,15,750        -10,71,375         9,15,986
               23,500    1,33,36,575         90,06,750       30,10,005
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,500    1,33,36,575         90,06,750       30,10,005
               23,400       79,36,950         66,21,300       20,24,697
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,400    1,65,15,750        -10,71,375         9,15,986
               24,400       35,75,100          -7,30,125         4,13,625
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,500    1,33,36,575         90,06,750       30,10,005
               23,600    1,04,26,125         41,49,000       21,14,118
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,500       75,78,300              -80,325         7,90,202
               23,000       74,18,400         21,09,600       22,90,297
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,800       66,84,150         23,95,200       10,59,405
               23,200       49,36,650         21,50,775       29,02,149
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,400       19,00,950        -14,14,350       16,47,740
               23,500       48,12,300        -13,92,975       15,98,284
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,200       49,36,650         21,50,775       29,02,149
               23,000       74,18,400         21,09,600       22,90,297

NIFTY Monthly Expiry (24.04.2025)

The NIFTY index closed at 23165.7. The NIFTY monthly expiry for April 24, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 1.202 against previous 1.249. The 23500PE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 23500CE and 23000PE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 23300PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 23500CE and 23300CE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 23500PE, 23800PE, and 23600PE options. Trading volume was highest in the 23000PE option, followed by the 24000CE and 23500PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

NIFTY Monthly Expiry:24-04-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         23,165.70                1.202                  1.249               0.973
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:    3,81,91,350      3,56,22,600       25,68,750
 PUT:    4,58,97,375      4,45,09,875       13,87,500
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,500       42,08,700            6,20,400             92,500
               24,000       33,53,325               32,475             96,009
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,500       42,08,700            6,20,400             92,500
               23,300       11,27,100            5,69,625             34,472
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               20,500          9,31,950          -1,39,725               3,354
               24,700          4,49,625          -1,29,975             28,216
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,000       33,53,325               32,475             96,009
               23,500       42,08,700            6,20,400             92,500
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,500       47,47,350          -3,68,025             93,011
               23,000       35,20,350                    -225             98,450
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,300       15,03,225            6,22,725             45,341
               22,500       32,10,750            3,54,675             54,373
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,500       47,47,350          -3,68,025             93,011
               23,800       13,75,500          -1,57,725             12,505
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,000       35,20,350                    -225             98,450
               23,500       47,47,350          -3,68,025             93,011

BANKNIFTY Monthly Expiry (24.04.2025)

The BANKNIFTY index closed at 50827.5. The BANKNIFTY monthly expiry for April 24, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 0.902 against previous 0.995. The 53000CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 53000PE and 52000CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 55500CE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 54000CE and 51000CE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 51500PE, 51000PE, and 51700PE options. Trading volume was highest in the 51000PE option, followed by the 51500PE and 51500CE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

BANKNIFTY Monthly Expiry:24-04-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         50,827.50                0.902                  0.995               1.008
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:    1,55,80,170      1,35,60,369       20,19,801
 PUT:    1,40,55,930      1,34,85,960         5,69,970
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               53,000       13,12,170               24,960         1,42,355
               52,000          9,58,200                  3,000         1,57,657
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               55,500          4,36,560            1,80,270             50,603
               54,000          8,72,100            1,67,190             93,154
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               50,000          3,71,040              -46,170             10,237
               49,000          4,90,230              -26,340               7,683
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               51,500          7,48,740               75,780         1,60,517
               52,000          9,58,200                  3,000         1,57,657
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               53,000       12,40,170              -14,130               4,854
               50,000          9,20,430              -56,160         1,30,227
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               47,000          6,85,170            1,24,800             41,760
               44,000          2,36,070            1,20,900             16,772
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               51,500          5,80,860          -2,41,380         1,62,328
               51,000          7,82,370          -1,35,270         2,30,883
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               51,000          7,82,370          -1,35,270         2,30,883
               51,500          5,80,860          -2,41,380         1,62,328

FINNIFTY Monthly Expiry (24.04.2025)

The FINNIFTY index closed at 24529.4. The FINNIFTY monthly expiry for April 24, 2025, has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 0.535 against previous 0.844. The 25500CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 26000CE and 26500CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 25500CE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 25600CE and 25700CE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 25000PE, 24000PE, and 25100PE options. Trading volume was highest in the 25000CE option, followed by the 25000PE and 24500PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

FINNIFTY Monthly Expiry:24-04-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         24,529.40                0.535                  0.844               0.785
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:          9,16,630            5,52,370         3,64,260
 PUT:          4,90,035            4,66,310             23,725
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,500          1,31,105            1,04,325               3,931
               26,000             96,395                -1,235               3,319
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,500          1,31,105            1,04,325               3,931
               25,600             46,150               37,895               1,231
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,900                8,060                -6,175                   244
               25,300             11,245                -2,145                   444
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,000             68,380                  7,735               6,502
               25,500          1,31,105            1,04,325               3,931
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,000             55,380              -19,565               3,224
               25,000             44,135              -47,970               4,591
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,700             23,595               15,470               1,698
               23,800             13,845               13,585                   867
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,000             44,135              -47,970               4,591
               24,000             55,380              -19,565               3,224
 Top PUT Volume:   
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,000             44,135              -47,970               4,591
               24,500             40,625               11,765               4,160

Market Outlook: Uncertainty Looms Amid Weak Global Cues & Trump Liberation Day Event

The market is at a critical juncture as FIIs continue heavy selling, reducing their long positions in index futures while increasing their put option holdings, signaling a cautious to bearish outlook. This suggests that institutional investors are hedging against potential downside risks, possibly due to global uncertainties, economic policy shifts, or upcoming data releases.

Key Factors to Watch:

Resistance at 23,500 for Nifty & 53,000 for Bank Nifty:

Options data suggests strong call writing at these levels, making them key resistance zones.

If these levels are breached on the upside, it could indicate short covering, but until then, caution is advised.

Trump Liberation Day & Global Market Sentiment:

April 3rd, marked as “Trump Liberation Day,” could trigger global market volatility, as the former U.S. president is expected to make major economic and policy announcements, particularly regarding tariffs and geopolitical trade policies.

If new tariffs are imposed, sectors like IT, Pharma, and Auto in India could take a hit as they rely on global markets for growth.

The Federal Reserve’s monetary stance will also play a key role in shaping FII flows.

Sectoral Impact & Economic Growth Concerns:

IT, Auto, and Pharma stocks remain vulnerable due to global uncertainties, AI disruption, and potential tariff changes.

Defensive sectors like FMCG may struggle due to reduced white-collar demand.

Trading Strategy Going Forward:

Short-term traders: Should remain cautious and watch for support levels around 23,000 in Nifty and 50,000 in Bank Nifty.

Long-term investors: Should focus on sectors that are resilient to global downturns, such as manufacturing and energy.

Derivatives traders: Should track FII positioning, PCR trends, and Open Interest shifts for directional cues.

Overall, while Nifty and Bank Nifty may see short-term relief rallies, the broader market structure remains weak. With macro uncertainty, institutional selling pressure, and potential global shocks from Trump’s economic policies, a trend reversal would require strong domestic inflows and positive global cues.

For the bullish bias to continue, Nifty must sustain above the 100-DMA at 23,477, and Bank Nifty must hold above the 200-DMA at 51,015.

For now, the market remains in a sell-on-rise mode, and traders should approach with strict risk management and cautious optimism.

Check Previous Day’s Nifty Indices F&O Analysis

FII / FPI trading activity in Capital Market Segment

Disclaimer

fnodata.com is a financial blog providing research-based data and analysis. The content on this blog is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice.

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