Unveiling Powerful F&O Market Signals: Is Nifty’s 25K Comeback for Real?

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F&O Market Signals

The F&O market signals on 16th June 2025 flashed a dramatic turnaround as Nifty futures surged 1.09% to 24,996.20, reclaiming the critical 25,000 mark with a sharp premium jump (+40.9 points) even as open interest dipped (-0.6%) and volumes softened (-1.1%). The weekly Put-Call Ratio (OI) for Nifty soared to 1.111 (from 0.712), signaling a sudden shift to aggressive put writing and short covering, while max pain aligned at 24,900—hinting at strong support just below spot. Monthly PCR (OI) also ticked up to 1.032, and heavy call additions at 26,500 and puts at 24,500 suggest traders are hedging for a wider expiry range.


BankNifty futures followed suit, rallying 0.90% to 56,112.40 with a massive premium spike (+80.45 points), but a 3.4% OI drop and max pain at 56,000 reveal profit booking and short covering are in play. The PCR (OI) for BankNifty climbed to 0.744, but remains below 1, reflecting a cautious undertone despite the bounce. Meanwhile, FINNIFTY and MIDCPNIFTY futures posted healthy gains, with their PCRs rising to 0.701 and 1.177 respectively—pointing to renewed optimism in financials and midcaps.

Sensex futures also rebounded 0.97% to 81,792.60, with OI surging 52.8% and a strong PCR (OI) jump to 1.104, indicating robust hedging and a potential shift in sentiment as the week kicks off.

NSE & BSE F&O Market Signals

NIFTY JUNE Future

NIFTY Spot closed at: 24,946.50 (0.92%)

NIFTY JUNE Future closed at: 24,996.20 (1.09%)

Premium: 49.7 (Increased by 40.9 points)

Open Interest Change: -0.6%

Volume Change: -1.1%

NIFTY Weekly Expiry (19/06/2025) Option Analysis

Put-Call Ratio (OI): 1.111 (Increased from 0.712)

Put-Call Ratio (Volume): 0.724

Max Pain Level: 24900

Maximum CALL OI: 26000

Maximum PUT OI: 22800

Highest CALL Addition: 25300

Highest PUT Addition: 24800

NIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025) Option Analysis

Put-Call Ratio (OI): 1.032 (Increased from 0.984)

Put-Call Ratio (Volume): 0.843

Max Pain Level: 24900

Maximum CALL OI: 26000

Maximum PUT OI: 24500

Highest CALL Addition: 26500

Highest PUT Addition: 24500

BANKNIFTY JUNE Future

BANKNIFTY Spot closed at: 55,944.90 (0.75%)

BANKNIFTY JUNE Future closed at: 56,112.40 (0.90%)

Premium: 167.5 (Increased by 80.45 points)

Open Interest Change: -3.4%

Volume Change: -6.1%

BANKNIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025) Option Analysis

Put-Call Ratio (OI): 0.744 (Increased from 0.680)

Put-Call Ratio (Volume): 0.715

Max Pain Level: 56000

Maximum CALL OI: 56000

Maximum PUT OI: 56000

Highest CALL Addition: 64500

Highest PUT Addition: 55500

FINNIFTY JUNE Future

FINNIFTY Spot closed at: 26,554.75 (0.83%)

FINNIFTY JUNE Future closed at: 26,635.90 (0.97%)

Premium:  81.15 (Increased by 36.55 points)

Open Interest Change: -1.8%

Volume Change: -39.9%

FINNIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025) Option Analysis

Put-Call Ratio (OI): 0.701 (Increased from 0.621)

Put-Call Ratio (Volume): 1.027

Max Pain Level: 26600

Maximum CALL OI: 27000

Maximum PUT OI: 26500

Highest CALL Addition: 27700

Highest PUT Addition: 26300

MIDCPNIFTY JUNE Future

MIDCPNIFTY Spot closed at: 13,107.50 (0.89%)

MIDCPNIFTY JUNE Future closed at: 13,148.50 (1.04%)

Premium: 41 (Increased by 19.8 points)

Open Interest Change: 0.9%

Volume Change: -14.7%

MIDCPNIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025) Option Analysis

Put-Call Ratio (OI): 1.177 (Increased from 1.015)

Put-Call Ratio (Volume): 0.879

Max Pain Level: 13000

Maximum CALL OI: 14000

Maximum PUT OI: 13000

Highest CALL Addition: 13100

Highest PUT Addition: 13000

SENSEX Weekly Expiry (17/06/2025) Future

SENSEX Spot closed at: 81,796.15 (0.84%)

SENSEX Weekly Future closed at: 81,792.60 (0.97%)

Discount: -3.55 (Increased by 111.9 points)

Open Interest Change: 52.8%

Volume Change: -2.5%

SENSEX Weekly Expiry (17/06/2025) Option Analysis

Put-Call Ratio (OI): 1.104 (Increased from 0.606)

Put-Call Ratio (Volume): 0.737

Max Pain Level: 81700

Maximum CALL OI: 83000

Maximum PUT OI: 80000

Highest CALL Addition: 81800

Highest PUT Addition: 80000

FII & DII Cash Market Activity

FIIs Net SELL: ₹ 2,539.42 Cr
DIIs Net Buy: ₹ 5,780.96 Cr

FII Derivatives Activity

FII Trading Stats16.06.2513.06.2512.06.25
FII Cash (Provisional Data)-2,539.42-1,263.52-3,831.42
Index Future Open Interest Long Ratio20.21%19.07%19.56%
Index Future Volume Long Ratio53.15%44.90%37.82%
Call Option Open Interest Long Ratio58.62%59.03%59.83%
Call Option Volume Long Ratio49.98%50.05%49.83%
Put Option Open Interest Long Ratio58.69%60.81%62.95%
Put Option Volume Long Ratio49.72%49.89%50.04%
Stock Future Open Interest Long Ratio62.29%62.03%62.48%
Stock Future Volume Long Ratio53.92%46.19%42.40%
    
Index FuturesFresh LongFresh ShortFresh Short
Index OptionsFresh ShortFresh ShortLong Covering
    
Nifty FuturesFresh LongShort CoveringFresh Short
Nifty OptionsFresh ShortFresh ShortLong Covering
    
BankNifty FuturesShort CoveringFresh ShortFresh Short
BankNifty OptionsFresh ShortFresh LongFresh Long
    
FinNifty FuturesFresh LongShort CoveringLong Covering
FinNifty OptionsFresh LongFresh ShortFresh Long
    
MidcpNifty FuturesFresh LongFresh ShortFresh Short
MidcpNifty OptionsFresh ShortFresh ShortFresh Long
    
NiftyNxt50 FuturesFresh ShortShort CoveringLong Covering
NiftyNxt50 OptionsFresh LongFresh ShortLong Covering
    
Stock FuturesFresh LongLong CoveringLong Covering
Stock OptionsFresh ShortFresh ShortFresh Short

NSE & BSE F&O market Trends : Options Insights

NIFTY Weekly Expiry (19/06/2025)

The NIFTY index closed at 24946.5. The NIFTY weekly expiry for JUNE 19, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 1.111 against previous 0.712. The 22800PE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 23500PE and 26000CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 24800PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 24900PE and 22800PE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 25000CE, 25800CE, and 22850PE options. Trading volume was highest in the 25000CE option, followed by the 24900CE and 24800PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

NIFTYWeekly Expiry:19-06-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         24,946.50                1.111                  0.712               0.724
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL: 12,21,67,275   11,96,93,775       24,73,500
 PUT: 13,57,57,275      8,52,49,350   5,05,07,925
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,000       94,99,200            8,44,725         7,01,121
               25,500       82,08,075         15,10,650       14,56,565
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,300       74,71,050         23,66,325       15,28,696
               25,500       82,08,075         15,10,650       14,56,565
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,000       54,16,125        -28,16,250       28,98,713
               25,800       43,08,300        -12,34,800         5,96,984
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,000       54,16,125        -28,16,250       28,98,713
               24,900       39,03,525            9,02,250       23,45,165
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,800    1,16,40,900         38,26,500         7,98,277
               23,500       97,37,700         21,22,500         5,15,701
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,800       70,09,050         52,63,200       19,62,171
               24,900       57,03,975         44,43,675       15,88,065
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,850          7,81,875        -11,23,800         1,69,007
               23,050          1,94,850              -17,325             40,470
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,800       70,09,050         52,63,200       19,62,171
               24,900       57,03,975         44,43,675       15,88,065

SENSEX Weekly Expiry (17/06/2025)

The SENSEX index closed at 81796.15. The SENSEX weekly expiry for JUNE 17, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 1.104 against previous 0.606. The 83000CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 80000PE and 79000PE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 80000PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 79000PE and 81500PE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 85500CE, 81000CE, and 86000CE options. Trading volume was highest in the 82000CE option, followed by the 83000CE and 82500CE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

SENSEXWeeklyExpiry:17-06-2025
Index SpotPCR OIPrev PCR OIPCR VOL
81796.151.1040.6060.737
Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
 CurrentPriorNet Ch
CALL:  2,12,43,960    2,03,32,920              9,11,040
PUT:  2,34,48,920    1,23,29,889        1,11,19,031
Top CALL Open Interest:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
83000      17,19,080          1,74,820        5,22,17,920
84000      14,52,220          1,20,620        1,57,64,380
Top CALL Open Interest addition:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
81800        5,49,020          3,68,780        3,86,89,920
83500      12,30,580          2,85,440        1,91,28,880
Top CALL Open Interest reduction:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
85500        3,53,280        -1,96,500           31,32,740
81000        2,58,740        -1,86,640           75,05,280
Top CALL Volume:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
82000        8,14,160          1,30,320        6,06,05,840
83000      17,19,080          1,74,820        5,22,17,920
Top PUT Open Interest:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
80000      15,05,620          9,36,200        2,91,30,640
79000      14,56,880          8,32,240        1,58,16,820
Top PUT Open Interest addition:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
80000      15,05,620          9,36,200        2,91,30,640
79000      14,56,880          8,32,240        1,58,16,820
Top PUT Open Interest reduction:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
74500            25,440            -44,880              4,27,560
75500        1,36,000            -31,240           10,85,360
Top PUT Volume:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
81000      11,37,440          4,40,520        3,89,37,540
80000      15,05,620          9,36,200        2,91,30,640

NIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025)

The NIFTY index closed at 24946.5. The NIFTY monthly expiry for JUNE 26, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 1.032 against previous 0.984. The 26000CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 24500PE and 25000CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 24500PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 24800PE and 24900PE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 25000CE, 24600CE, and 24000PE options. Trading volume was highest in the 25000CE option, followed by the 25500CE and 24500PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

NIFTY Monthly Expiry:26-06-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         24,946.50                1.032                  0.984               0.843
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:    6,32,57,275      6,06,99,250       25,58,025
 PUT:    6,52,81,350      5,97,38,700       55,42,650
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,000       63,72,600               32,050         1,17,457
               25,000       56,57,025          -4,26,525         1,94,470
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,500       25,09,875            5,65,275             43,122
               25,300       17,55,825            3,75,375             70,860
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,000       56,57,025          -4,26,525         1,94,470
               24,600          6,03,075          -2,39,250             19,444
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,000       56,57,025          -4,26,525         1,94,470
               25,500       50,87,625          -1,71,225         1,37,219
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,500       56,93,775         10,33,875         1,17,499
               24,000       45,80,650          -2,23,750         1,02,000
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,500       56,93,775         10,33,875         1,17,499
               24,800       30,25,125            8,04,825         1,10,219
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,000       45,80,650          -2,23,750         1,02,000
               25,100          8,69,850          -1,76,850             26,688
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,500       56,93,775         10,33,875         1,17,499
               25,000       42,97,200            3,27,225         1,16,631

BANKNIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025)

The BANKNIFTY index closed at 55944.9. The BANKNIFTY monthly expiry for JUNE 26, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 0.744 against previous 0.680. The 56000CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 56000PE and 60000CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 55500PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 56000PE and 64500CE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 61000CE, 52000PE, and 54500PE options. Trading volume was highest in the 56000CE option, followed by the 55500CE and 55500PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

BANKNIFTY Monthly Expiry:26-06-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         55,944.90                0.744                  0.680               0.715
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:    2,33,77,110      2,35,55,319       -1,78,209
 PUT:    1,73,96,250      1,60,23,660       13,72,590
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               56,000       21,08,040               15,000         2,35,418
               60,000       16,65,660              -48,510             79,382
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               64,500          7,00,830            1,61,220             19,230
               55,900          2,04,150               89,460             88,532
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               61,000          9,05,670          -3,05,790             41,273
               55,500          5,41,710          -1,04,280         1,84,891
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               56,000       21,08,040               15,000         2,35,418
               55,500          5,41,710          -1,04,280         1,84,891
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               56,000       19,83,570            1,89,540         1,25,650
               55,000       13,47,330            1,42,560         1,16,759
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               55,500       10,19,220            2,71,290         1,83,351
               56,000       19,83,570            1,89,540         1,25,650
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               52,000          6,86,610          -1,43,880             57,420
               54,500          5,86,740          -1,07,340             58,967
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               55,500       10,19,220            2,71,290         1,83,351
               56,000       19,83,570            1,89,540         1,25,650

FINNIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025)

The FINNIFTY index closed at 26554.75. The FINNIFTY monthly expiry for JUNE 26, 2025, has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 0.701 against previous 0.621. The 27000CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 28000CE and 28500CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 26300PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 24800PE and 26550PE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 28500CE, 25000PE, and 29000CE options. Trading volume was highest in the 26300PE option, followed by the 26500CE and 26500PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

FINNIFTY Monthly Expiry:26-06-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         26,554.75                0.701                  0.621               1.027
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:       14,33,250         14,43,910           -10,660
 PUT:       10,05,160            8,96,350         1,08,810
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               27,000          1,52,100              -10,790               3,770
               28,000          1,09,200                  3,835               2,493
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               27,700             74,295               16,835                   967
               27,600             44,200               16,640                   938
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               28,500             98,215              -25,090               1,480
               29,000             64,480              -10,985                   639
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,500             50,180                  6,175               4,772
               27,000          1,52,100              -10,790               3,770
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,500             89,375               12,155               4,362
               24,500             83,720               15,730               1,113
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,300             79,885               39,195             13,643
               24,800             28,405               20,475                   690
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,000             52,000              -11,895                   974
               26,850             13,130              -10,725                   270
 Top PUT Volume:   
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,300             79,885               39,195             13,643
               26,500             89,375               12,155               4,362

MIDCPNIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025)

The MIDCPNIFTY index closed at 13107.5. The MIDCPNIFTY monthly expiry for JUNE 26, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 1.177 against previous 1.015. The 13000PE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 14000CE and 13500CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 13000PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 13100PE and 12500PE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 66800CE, 70000CE, and 67300CE options. Trading volume was highest in the 13000PE option, followed by the 13000CE and 13500CE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

MIDCPNIFTY Monthly Expiry:26-06-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         13,107.50                1.177                  1.015               0.879
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:       54,54,240         55,35,600           -81,360
 PUT:       64,21,560         56,16,600         8,04,960
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               14,000          6,17,520              -56,640               8,457
               13,500          6,14,520              -37,920             17,184
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               13,100          1,66,680               63,120             13,719
               13,450             66,600               49,080                   970
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               14,200             82,320          -1,13,280               2,315
               14,000          6,17,520              -56,640               8,457
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               13,000          4,83,000               31,440             24,561
               13,500          6,14,520              -37,920             17,184
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               13,000          7,69,080            1,73,280             26,009
               12,500          5,92,200            1,17,000             11,649
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               13,000          7,69,080            1,73,280             26,009
               13,100          2,19,480            1,32,000               8,375
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               12,300          1,57,680              -27,960               3,606
               12,100          1,34,520              -17,160               1,493
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               13,000          7,69,080            1,73,280             26,009
               12,900          2,56,440               51,960             13,051

Conclusion: What the Future & Option Chain Analysis Tells Us

The 16th June F&O data signals a potential inflection point: Nifty’s reclaiming of 25,000, coupled with a sharp rise in PCRs and max pain clustering at 24,900, suggests bulls are regaining control, at least in the short term . However, the premium spikes and OI declines across indices warn that much of the move could be driven by short covering and not fresh long buildup, making the rally susceptible to profit booking.

BankNifty’s 56,000 max pain and heavy call writing at 64,500 indicate resistance remains stiff, while FINNIFTY and MIDCPNIFTY’s improving PCRs favor sector-specific plays in financials and midcaps. Traders should closely watch the 24,900–25,100 zone in Nifty and the 56,000–56,500 band in BankNifty for confirmation of trend continuation. Deploying hedged strategies—such as 25,000 straddles or 56,000 BankNifty spreads—can help navigate volatility as expiry approaches. As global cues and institutional flows remain in flux, staying nimble and aligning with these F&O market signals will be crucial to capitalizing on the next big move.

Check Previous Day’s Nifty Indices F&O Analysis

FII / FPI trading activity in Capital Market Segment

NSE Derivatives Raw Data

BSE Derivatives Raw Data

Disclaimer

fnodata.com is a financial blog providing research-based data and analysis. The content creator of the fnodata.com is not a SEBI registered Investment Advisor. The content on this blog is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions. You should consult with a financial advisor or conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.


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