Critical F&O Market Signals: Is the Nifty Crash a Bear Trap or a Buying Opportunity?

Sharing is Supporting

F&O Market Signals

The F&O market signals on 13th June 2025 intensified bearish momentum as Nifty futures plunged 0.84% to 24,727.40, with spot closing below 24,800 (-0.68%) amid aggressive call writing at 25,000 and a collapsing premium (-40.4 points). BankNifty futures crumbled 1.16% to 55,614.40, while MIDCPNIFTY’s PCR (OI) rebound to 1.015 and max pain at 13,000 hinted at selective midcap accumulation. Nifty’s weekly PCR (OI) inched up to 0.712, but open interest buildup (+3.8%) signaled short-term bear dominance. With the India VIX surging to 15.08, let’s decode whether these F&O market signals reflect panic capitulation or a tactical dip ahead of RBI policy.

NSE & BSE F&O Market Signals

NIFTY JUNE Future

NIFTY Spot closed at: 24,718.60 (-0.68%)

NIFTY JUNE Future closed at: 24,727.40 (-0.84%)

Premium: 8.8 (Decreased by -40.4 points)

Open Interest Change: 3.8%

Volume Change: -24.6%

NIFTY Weekly Expiry (19/06/2025) Option Analysis

Put-Call Ratio (OI): 0.712 (Increased from 0.666)

Put-Call Ratio (Volume): 0.827

Max Pain Level: 24800

Maximum CALL OI: 26000

Maximum PUT OI: 22800

Highest CALL Addition: 25000

Highest PUT Addition: 22800

NIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025) Option Analysis

Put-Call Ratio (OI): 0.984 (Decreased from 1.042)

Put-Call Ratio (Volume): 0.992

Max Pain Level: 24850

Maximum CALL OI: 26000

Maximum PUT OI: 24000

Highest CALL Addition: 25000

Highest PUT Addition: 23800

BANKNIFTY JUNE Future

BANKNIFTY Spot closed at: 55,527.35 (-0.99%)

BANKNIFTY JUNE Future closed at: 55,614.40 (-1.16%)

Premium: 87.05 (Decreased by -100 points)

Open Interest Change: 0.5%

Volume Change: -1.7%

BANKNIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025) Option Analysis

Put-Call Ratio (OI): 0.680 (Decreased from 0.779)

Put-Call Ratio (Volume): 0.870

Max Pain Level: 56000

Maximum CALL OI: 56000

Maximum PUT OI: 56000

Highest CALL Addition: 59000

Highest PUT Addition: 54500

FINNIFTY JUNE Future

FINNIFTY Spot closed at: 26,335.60 (-0.92%)

FINNIFTY JUNE Future closed at: 26,380.20 (-1.09%)

Premium:  44.6 (Decreased by -46.6 points)

Open Interest Change: 0.5%

Volume Change: -33.5%

FINNIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025) Option Analysis

Put-Call Ratio (OI): 0.621 (Decreased from 0.653)

Put-Call Ratio (Volume): 0.729

Max Pain Level: 26650

Maximum CALL OI: 27000

Maximum PUT OI: 26500

Highest CALL Addition: 27700

Highest PUT Addition: 26500

MIDCPNIFTY JUNE Future

MIDCPNIFTY Spot closed at: 12,991.60 (-0.34%)

MIDCPNIFTY JUNE Future closed at: 13,012.80 (-0.38%)

Premium: 21.2 (Decreased by -4.85 points)

Open Interest Change: -1.7%

Volume Change: 6.7%

MIDCPNIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025) Option Analysis

Put-Call Ratio (OI): 1.015 (Increased from 0.942)

Put-Call Ratio (Volume): 0.858

Max Pain Level: 13000

Maximum CALL OI: 14000

Maximum PUT OI: 13000

Highest CALL Addition: 13000

Highest PUT Addition: 12800

SENSEX Weekly Expiry (17/06/2025) Future

SENSEX Spot closed at: 81,118.60 (-0.70%)

SENSEX Weekly Future closed at: 81,003.15 (-0.88%)

Discount: -115.45 (Decreased by -145.27 points)

Open Interest Change: -4.3%

Volume Change: -5.2%

SENSEX Weekly Expiry (17/06/2025) Option Analysis

Put-Call Ratio (OI): 0.609 (Increased from 0.507)

Put-Call Ratio (Volume): 0.903

Max Pain Level: 81300

Maximum CALL OI: 83000

Maximum PUT OI: 78000

Highest CALL Addition: 83000

Highest PUT Addition: 78000

FII & DII Cash Market Activity

FIIs Net SELL: ₹ 1,263.52 Cr
DIIs Net Buy: ₹ 3,041.44 Cr

FII Derivatives Activity

FII Trading Stats13.06.2512.06.2511.06.25
FII Cash (Provisional Data)-1,263.52-3,831.42-446.31
Index Future Open Interest Long Ratio19.07%19.56%22.17%
Index Future Volume Long Ratio44.90%37.82%60.99%
Call Option Open Interest Long Ratio59.03%59.83%61.34%
Call Option Volume Long Ratio50.05%49.83%51.07%
Put Option Open Interest Long Ratio60.81%62.95%63.41%
Put Option Volume Long Ratio49.89%50.04%51.10%
Stock Future Open Interest Long Ratio62.03%62.48%63.40%
Stock Future Volume Long Ratio46.19%42.40%48.51%
    
Index FuturesFresh ShortFresh ShortFresh Long
Index OptionsFresh ShortLong CoveringFresh Long
    
Nifty FuturesShort CoveringFresh ShortFresh Long
Nifty OptionsFresh ShortLong CoveringFresh Long
    
BankNifty FuturesFresh ShortFresh ShortLong Covering
BankNifty OptionsFresh LongFresh LongLong Covering
    
FinNifty FuturesShort CoveringLong CoveringFresh Long
FinNifty OptionsFresh ShortFresh LongFresh Long
    
MidcpNifty FuturesFresh ShortFresh ShortFresh Short
MidcpNifty OptionsFresh ShortFresh LongFresh Short
    
NiftyNxt50 FuturesShort CoveringLong CoveringLong Covering
NiftyNxt50 OptionsFresh ShortLong CoveringFresh Short
    
Stock FuturesLong CoveringLong CoveringLong Covering
Stock OptionsFresh ShortFresh ShortFresh Short

NSE & BSE F&O market Trends : Options Insights

NIFTY Weekly Expiry (19/06/2025)

The NIFTY index closed at 24718.6. The NIFTY weekly expiry for JUNE 19, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 0.712 against previous 0.666. The 26000CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 25000CE and 22800PE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 25000CE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 22800PE and 23000PE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 24900PE, 25000PE, and 25100PE options. Trading volume was highest in the 24700CE option, followed by the 25000CE and 24600PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

NIFTYWeekly Expiry:19-06-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         24,718.60                0.712                  0.666               0.827
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL: 11,96,93,775      8,59,36,650   3,37,57,125
 PUT:    8,52,49,350      5,72,17,125   2,80,32,225
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,000       86,54,475          -3,74,700         7,10,898
               25,000       82,32,375         39,34,725       18,08,470
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,000       82,32,375         39,34,725       18,08,470
               24,700       28,12,800         25,50,300       20,36,092
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,000       86,54,475          -3,74,700         7,10,898
               26,300       20,04,225          -2,23,725         2,07,169
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,700       28,12,800         25,50,300       20,36,092
               25,000       82,32,375         39,34,725       18,08,470
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,800       78,14,400         37,83,300         6,93,231
               23,500       76,15,200         26,64,000         5,72,843
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,800       78,14,400         37,83,300         6,93,231
               23,000       48,65,175         28,09,650         4,98,838
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,900       12,60,300        -11,96,400         1,58,052
               25,000       17,06,250          -5,90,175         1,43,507
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,600       34,93,875         20,42,850       17,66,243
               24,500       47,70,225         21,32,250       16,02,846

SENSEX Weekly Expiry (17/06/2025)

The SENSEX index closed at 81118.6. The SENSEX weekly expiry for JUNE 17, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 0.609 against previous 0.507. The 83000CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 84000CE and 85000CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 83000CE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 78000PE and 81000CE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 86000CE, 85000CE, and 81500PE options. Trading volume was highest in the 81000CE option, followed by the 82000CE and 81000PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

SENSEXWeeklyExpiry:17-06-2025
Index SpotPCR OIPrev PCR OIPCR VOL
81118.60.6090.5070.903
Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
 CurrentPriorNet Ch
CALL:  2,03,32,920    1,63,37,389           39,95,531
PUT:  1,23,81,480        82,84,840           40,96,640
Top CALL Open Interest:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
83000      15,44,260          9,40,500        1,87,10,200
84000      13,31,600          3,07,360           94,40,600
Top CALL Open Interest addition:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
83000      15,44,260          9,40,500        1,87,10,200
81000        4,45,380          3,92,180        2,54,63,220
Top CALL Open Interest reduction:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
86000        7,88,480        -3,23,440           42,42,680
85000      12,10,480        -3,21,280           68,05,980
Top CALL Volume:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
81000        4,45,380          3,92,180        2,54,63,220
82000        6,83,840          1,82,460        2,23,59,560
Top PUT Open Interest:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
78000        7,80,840          4,31,140        1,22,44,300
81000        6,96,920          3,67,040        2,14,00,260
Top PUT Open Interest addition:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
78000        7,80,840          4,31,140        1,22,44,300
81000        6,96,920          3,67,040        2,14,00,260
Top PUT Open Interest reduction:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
81500        2,40,700        -1,82,640           20,66,860
82000        1,64,400        -1,09,180              6,72,860
Top PUT Volume:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
81000        6,96,920          3,67,040        2,14,00,260
80000        5,69,420              76,660        1,94,36,300

NIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025)

The NIFTY index closed at 24718.6. The NIFTY monthly expiry for JUNE 26, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 0.984 against previous 1.042. The 26000CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 25000CE and 25500CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 23800PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 25000CE and 25500CE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 24200PE, 25000PE, and 24500PE options. Trading volume was highest in the 25000CE option, followed by the 24500PE and 25500CE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

NIFTY Monthly Expiry:26-06-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         24,718.60                0.984                  1.042               0.992
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:    6,06,99,250      5,64,11,375       42,87,875
 PUT:    5,97,38,700      5,87,73,775         9,64,925
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,000       63,40,550            1,23,375         1,23,715
               25,000       60,83,550            9,58,375         1,63,132
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,000       60,83,550            9,58,375         1,63,132
               25,500       52,58,850            7,46,775         1,45,382
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               30,000       44,70,525          -3,50,550             26,573
               25,800          8,83,950          -3,44,100             45,008
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,000       60,83,550            9,58,375         1,63,132
               25,500       52,58,850            7,46,775         1,45,382
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,000       48,04,400          -1,38,750         1,44,432
               24,500       46,59,900          -5,28,225         1,57,667
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,800       22,15,125         14,51,475             64,513
               24,600       14,73,300            3,63,000             72,565
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,200       16,14,750        -12,14,025             75,334
               25,000       39,69,975          -5,89,600             66,779
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,500       46,59,900          -5,28,225         1,57,667
               24,000       48,04,400          -1,38,750         1,44,432

BANKNIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025)

The BANKNIFTY index closed at 55527.35. The BANKNIFTY monthly expiry for JUNE 26, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 0.680 against previous 0.779. The 56000CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 56000PE and 60000CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 59000CE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 55500CE and 59500CE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 51000PE, 62000CE, and 56000PE options. Trading volume was highest in the 55500PE option, followed by the 55500CE and 55000PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

BANKNIFTY Monthly Expiry:26-06-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         55,527.35                0.680                  0.779               0.870
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:    2,35,55,700      2,18,60,844       16,94,856
 PUT:    1,60,23,660      1,70,34,210     -10,10,550
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               56,000       20,93,040              -22,410         1,57,314
               60,000       17,14,170               45,510         1,11,036
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               59,000       14,72,250            6,19,560         1,24,424
               55,500          6,45,990            3,40,170         1,89,118
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               62,000          3,62,940          -2,36,700             35,439
               61,500          2,53,530          -1,54,860             36,068
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               55,500          6,45,990            3,40,170         1,89,118
               56,000       20,93,040              -22,410         1,57,314
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               56,000       17,94,030          -2,21,910             98,721
               55,000       12,04,770              -46,260         1,80,376
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               54,500          6,94,080            1,96,110             75,660
               53,500          4,74,570               70,920             50,991
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               51,000          5,31,720          -2,46,780             54,376
               56,000       17,94,030          -2,21,910             98,721
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               55,500          7,47,930                  9,780         2,17,220
               55,000       12,04,770              -46,260         1,80,376

FINNIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025)

The FINNIFTY index closed at 26335.6. The FINNIFTY monthly expiry for JUNE 26, 2025, has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 0.621 against previous 0.653. The 27000CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 28500CE and 28000CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 27700CE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 28000CE and 26500PE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 25500PE, 26450PE, and 29000CE options. Trading volume was highest in the 26300CE option, followed by the 26300PE and 26000PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

FINNIFTY Monthly Expiry:26-06-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         26,335.60                0.621                  0.653               0.729
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:       14,43,910         12,94,085         1,49,825
 PUT:          8,96,350            8,45,390             50,960
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               27,000          1,62,890               22,035               2,644
               28,500          1,23,305                -3,380               1,580
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               27,700             57,460               43,485               1,985
               28,000          1,05,365               41,860               2,358
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               29,000             75,465              -13,910                   676
               28,400             17,745              -13,845                   960
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,300             32,240               16,965               3,730
               26,500             44,005                  7,475               2,922
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,500             77,220               28,600               2,280
               24,500             67,990               26,455               1,452
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,500             77,220               28,600               2,280
               24,500             67,990               26,455               1,452
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               25,500             36,790              -15,535               1,429
               26,450             22,425              -15,470                   668
 Top PUT Volume:   
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               26,300             40,690                  2,860               3,317
               26,000             64,090               16,835               3,301

MIDCPNIFTY Monthly Expiry (26/06/2025)

The MIDCPNIFTY index closed at 12991.6. The MIDCPNIFTY monthly expiry for JUNE 26, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 1.015 against previous 0.942. The 14000CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 13500CE and 13000PE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 13000CE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 12800PE and 12000PE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 69000CE, 68000CE, and 66800CE options. Trading volume was highest in the 13000PE option, followed by the 13000CE and 13500CE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

MIDCPNIFTY Monthly Expiry:26-06-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         12,991.60                1.015                  0.942               0.858
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:       55,35,600         54,30,000         1,05,600
 PUT:       56,16,600         51,13,680         5,02,920
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               14,000          6,74,160              -22,440             19,466
               13,500          6,52,440               45,840             19,579
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               13,000          4,51,560            1,67,280             27,105
               13,800          3,31,320               70,920               9,760
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               12,500          1,35,600          -1,20,840               2,442
               13,300          3,12,960              -92,040             10,834
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               13,000          4,51,560            1,67,280             27,105
               13,500          6,52,440               45,840             19,579
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               13,000          5,95,800               12,720             29,996
               12,000          4,92,120               79,320             11,241
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               12,800          2,77,320               95,520             13,086
               12,000          4,92,120               79,320             11,241
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               13,100             87,480              -50,520               2,934
               13,300          1,32,120              -28,200               1,062
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               13,000          5,95,800               12,720             29,996
               12,500          4,75,200                -6,720             16,512

Conclusion: What the Future & Option Chain Analysis Tells Us

The 13th June F&O data reveals a market at a critical inflection: Nifty’s 24,800–24,500 support zone faces a test, with a break below 24,700 potentially triggering a slide to 24,300–24,400. BankNifty’s 55,500–55,000 range and 56,000 max pain suggest resistance at 56,200–56,500, while MIDCPNIFTY’s 13,000 support and FINNIFTY’s 26,650 max pain favor contrarian midcap/financial plays. Traders should watch for rebound signals near 24,700 (Nifty) and 55,300 (BankNifty), deploying hedged strategies like 24,500 puts or 56,000 straddles. With global cues (oil volatility ) and institutional shorting intensifying, F&O market signals—PCR swings, premium decay, and max pain shifts—will dictate whether this selloff is a bear trap or the start of a deeper correction.

Check Previous Day’s Nifty Indices F&O Analysis

FII / FPI trading activity in Capital Market Segment

NSE Derivatives Raw Data

BSE Derivatives Raw Data

Disclaimer

fnodata.com is a financial blog providing research-based data and analysis. The content creator of the fnodata.com is not a SEBI registered Investment Advisor. The content on this blog is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions. You should consult with a financial advisor or conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.


Sharing is Supporting

One comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *