Nifty nears Resistance | Short Covering as PCR & FII Long Positions Rise With Fall In Open Interest

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Nifty spot closed at 22,834.3, up 1.45%, while Nifty March futures ended at 22,895.4, gaining 1.45% and maintaining a 61.1-point premium over the spot price. A strong session, combined with a 0.73% decline in combined open interest across March, April & May futures and also contraction in March futures premium by 14.4 points, suggests short covering during the session and also some profit booking in long positions. This means traders who had previously taken short positions have unwinded them, and also bullish traders booked profit near Nifty resistances at 22,800 – 23,000. Additionally, a 41.27% rise in combined Nifty future volume indicates strong short covering pressure.

Nifty Put-Call Ratio (PCR) Insights

Nifty March PCR: 1.116 (up from 0.987) – Indicates an increase in put writing, a sign of bullishness.

Nifty April PCR: 1.215 (up from 1.228) – Suggests somewhat muted trading in April expiry.

Nifty May PCR: 1.244 (up from 1.239) – Indicates long-term confidence among traders.

Total PCR (all Expiries): 1.291 (up from 1.047) – The overall rise in PCR suggests a reduction in bearish bets and increased put writing, typically a positive indicator.

FII & DII Activity: Institutional Players in Action

In the cash market, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) bought for ₹694.57 Cr, which supported bullish sentiment. Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) also stepped in with ₹2,534.75 Cr in net buying, helping Nifty to cross crucial 22,500 – 22,800 resistance levels.

FII Index Future Positioning: Short Covering Pressure ahead of FED Meeting

FII Index Future Open Interest Long Ratio improved to 24% (from 20.17%), indicating that FIIs exited some of their short positions.FII Index Future Volume Long Ratio surged to 73.23% (from 71.26%), reflecting a significant increase in bullish bets with higher participation.

FII Trading Stats18.03.2517.03.2513.03.25
FII Cash (Provisional Data)694.57-4488.45-792.9
Index Future Open Interest Long Ratio24.00%20.17%18.82%
Index Future Volume Long Ratio73.23%71.26%49.19%
Call Option Open Interest Long Ratio57.15%58.41%56.57%
Call Option Volume Long Ratio49.92%50.79%48.99%
Put Option Open Interest Long Ratio57.76%60.35%62.37%
Put Option Volume Long Ratio49.43%50.11%49.33%
Stock Future Open Interest Long Ratio64.41%63.87%63.39%
Stock Future Volume Long Ratio55.00%55.68%46.58%
  
Index FuturesShort CoveringShort CoveringFresh Short
Index OptionsFresh ShortFresh LongLong Covering
    
Nifty FuturesShort CoveringShort CoveringFresh Short
Nifty OptionsFresh ShortFresh LongLong Covering
    
BankNifty FuturesShort CoveringShort CoveringFresh Long
BankNifty OptionsFresh ShortLong CoveringFresh Long
    
FinNifty FuturesFresh LongFresh LongLong Covering
FinNifty OptionsShort CoveringShort CoveringFresh Short
    
MidcpNifty FuturesShort CoveringShort CoveringFresh Short
MidcpNifty OptionsFresh LongShort CoveringFresh Short
    
NiftyNxt50 FuturesShort CoveringShort CoveringLong Covering
NiftyNxt50 OptionsLong CoveringFresh ShortLong Covering
    
Stock FuturesFresh LongFresh LongLong Covering
Stock OptionsFresh LongFresh ShortFresh Short

Major Indices | Options Insights

SENSEX Weekly Expiry (25.03.2025)

The SENSEX index closed at 75301.26. The SENSEX weekly expiry for March 25, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 1.811 against previous 1.070. The 71000PE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 71500PE and 72500PE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 75000PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 72500PE and 71500PE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 74000CE, 74400CE, and 74200CE options. Trading volume was highest in the 77000CE option, followed by the 75000PE and 75000CE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

SENSEXWeeklyExpiry:25-03-2025
Index SpotPCR OIPrev PCR OIPCR VOL
75301.261.8111.0701.190
Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
 CurrentPriorNet Ch
CALL:      14,55,840          7,30,480              7,25,360
PUT:      26,37,080          7,81,820           18,55,260
Top CALL Open Interest:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
77000        1,42,560                1,020           14,72,120
76000        1,22,800              13,420              9,10,320
Top CALL Open Interest addition:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
77500        1,18,500              91,920              9,70,740
78000        1,15,160              83,660              5,90,840
Top CALL Open Interest reduction:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
74000            26,500              -9,340              1,00,220
74400              2,600              -6,420                 52,200
Top CALL Volume:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
77000        1,42,560                1,020           14,72,120
75000        1,02,880              63,200           11,83,780
Top PUT Open Interest:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
71000        3,13,280          1,23,560              9,11,100
71500        2,45,080          1,65,420              8,23,020
Top PUT Open Interest addition:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
75000        1,92,240          1,69,960           12,99,440
72500        2,23,000          1,66,420              9,51,700
Top PUT Open Interest reduction:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
72300              5,280                  -620                 36,060
70400                    80                  -380                       900
Top PUT Volume:
StrikeOIOI ChangeVolume
75000        1,92,240          1,69,960           12,99,440
72500        2,23,000          1,66,420              9,51,700

NIFTY Weekly Expiry (20.03.2025):

The NIFTY index closed at 22834.3. The NIFTY weekly expiry for March 20, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 1.426 against previous 1.031. The 23000CE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 22500PE and 22000PE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 22600PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 22700PE and 22800PE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 22700CE, 22500CE, and 22600CE options. Trading volume was highest in the 23000CE option, followed by the 22800CE and 22700PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

NIFTYWeekly Expiry:20-03-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         22,834.30                1.426                1.031               0.958
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL: 12,51,36,900 12,22,59,300       28,77,600
 PUT: 17,84,77,125 12,60,47,475   5,24,29,650
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,000    1,32,17,700       43,64,550       34,73,150
               23,500    1,07,05,800          8,30,925         9,19,367
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,000    1,32,17,700       43,64,550       34,73,150
               23,400       76,98,750       25,04,325         7,45,080
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,700       34,23,600      -43,22,850       24,81,778
               22,500       34,01,775      -35,21,175         4,43,411
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,000    1,32,17,700       43,64,550       34,73,150
               22,800       56,98,725      -22,75,575       31,32,534
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,500    1,25,77,125       41,78,400       21,02,015
               22,000    1,21,89,150       36,31,500       10,74,985
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,600    1,04,92,800       78,26,325       21,84,346
               22,700       81,80,550       72,09,075       26,86,779
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               21,500       65,42,400      -14,67,900         6,40,179
               21,000       62,86,800      -14,63,700         2,94,555
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,700       81,80,550       72,09,075       26,86,779
               22,600    1,04,92,800       78,26,325       21,84,346

NIFTY Monthly Expiry (27.03.2025)

The NIFTY index closed at22834.3. The NIFTY monthly expiry for March 27, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 1.116 against previous 0.987. The 22000PE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 22500PE and 31000CE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 22800PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 22700PE and 23200CE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 22500CE, 23000CE, and 22600CE options. Trading volume was highest in the 23000CE option, followed by the 22500PE and 22000PE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

NIFTY Monthly Expiry:27-03-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         22,834.30                1.116                0.987               1.156
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:    7,04,93,500    7,03,34,075         1,59,425
 PUT:    7,86,63,950    6,93,94,800       92,69,150
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               31,000       66,20,675        -3,32,325             24,054
               23,000       59,49,700        -6,31,700         2,62,391
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,200       25,46,850       10,35,075         1,37,159
               23,100       18,17,775          6,14,775         1,03,186
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,500       43,79,250      -12,48,225             90,342
               23,000       59,49,700        -6,31,700         2,62,391
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,000       59,49,700        -6,31,700         2,62,391
               22,800       24,07,800        -1,36,650         1,82,909
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,000       81,73,900        -1,08,700         2,42,011
               22,500       77,89,950       10,00,500         2,45,558
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,800       25,36,050       17,40,750         1,68,268
               22,700       28,04,625       12,01,425         1,83,714
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,100       10,68,075        -2,71,425             77,898
               20,000       24,70,250        -1,95,550             11,267
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,500       77,89,950       10,00,500         2,45,558
               22,000       81,73,900        -1,08,700         2,42,011

BANKNIFTY Monthly Expiry (27.03.2025)

The BANKNIFTY index closed at 49314.5. The BANKNIFTY monthly expiry for March 27, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 1.243 against previous 1.031. The 49000PE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 48000PE and 47000PE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 49000PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 48000PE and 48800PE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 48500CE, 49000CE, and 50000CE options. Trading volume was highest in the 49000CE option, followed by the 49000PE and 50000CE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

BANKNIFTY Monthly Expiry:27-03-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         49,314.50                1.243                1.031               0.962
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:    2,33,74,875    2,48,11,134     -14,36,259
 PUT:    2,90,53,980    2,55,89,790       34,64,190
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               49,000       14,56,230        -4,40,310         4,41,591
               51,000       14,36,460              -4,800         2,11,040
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               51,500       10,67,400          2,65,110         1,84,468
               61,500       12,21,990          2,50,590             60,995
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               48,500          8,31,270        -4,76,760         1,26,400
               49,000       14,56,230        -4,40,310         4,41,591
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               49,000       14,56,230        -4,40,310         4,41,591
               50,000       13,22,580        -2,51,490         3,42,919
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               49,000       19,79,130       10,77,150         4,28,055
               48,000       19,66,425          3,62,520         2,41,009
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               49,000       19,79,130       10,77,150         4,28,055
               48,000       19,66,425          3,62,520         2,41,009
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               40,500       14,75,910        -1,88,160             59,565
               53,000          7,70,280        -1,53,960               5,486
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               49,000       19,79,130       10,77,150         4,28,055
               48,000       19,66,425          3,62,520         2,41,009

FINNIFTY Monthly Expiry (27.03.2025)

The FINNIFTY index closed at 23969.7. The FINNIFTY monthly expiry for March 27, 2025, has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 1.557 against previous 1.342. The 22000PE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 19500PE and 23000PE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 24300CE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 23800PE and 24700CE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 23800CE, 24100CE, and 24000CE options. Trading volume was highest in the 24500CE option, followed by the 24000CE and 23800CE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

FINNIFTY Monthly Expiry:27-03-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         23,969.70                1.557                1.342               0.958
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:       19,97,190       19,84,515             12,675
 PUT:       31,09,275       26,62,920         4,46,355
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,500          1,62,500            -36,920             22,763
               24,000          1,27,465            -38,090             13,403
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,300          1,24,930          1,03,025               9,964
               24,700             85,215             65,910               5,064
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,800             81,445            -54,470             10,920
               24,100             58,500            -39,845               6,999
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               24,500          1,62,500            -36,920             22,763
               24,000          1,27,465            -38,090             13,403
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               22,000          3,11,090             22,880               7,389
               19,500          2,97,765              -7,345                   406
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,800             91,650             73,970               8,565
               23,500          1,59,965             65,520             10,910
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               21,500          1,07,380            -33,930               2,899
               22,200             65,325            -18,070               1,838
 Top PUT Volume:   
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               23,500          1,59,965             65,520             10,910
               23,800             91,650             73,970               8,565

MIDCPNIFTY Monthly Expiry (27.03.2025)

The MIDCPNIFTY index closed at 11142.65. The MIDCPNIFTY monthly expiry for March 27, 2025 has revealed key trends in open interest. The current Put/Call Ratio is at 0.958 against previous 0.925. The 11000PE option holds the maximum open interest, followed by the 12000CE and 10000PE options. Market participants have shown increased interest with significant open interest additions in the 11000PE option, with open interest additions also seen in the 11100PE and 11300CE options. On the other hand, open interest reductions were prominent in the 60000CE, 56000PE, and 57000PE options. Trading volume was highest in the 11300CE option, followed by the 11000PE and 11000CE options, indicating active trading in these strikes.

MIDCPNIFTY Monthly Expiry:27-03-2025
 Index Spot PCR OI Prev PCR OI PCR VOL
         11,142.65                0.958                0.925               0.865
 Total Open Interest Change in all CALLs & PUTs:
  Current Prior Net Ch
 CALL:    1,02,25,680    1,02,53,520           -27,840
 PUT:       97,94,160       94,87,800         3,06,360
 Top CALL Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               12,000       10,12,680          1,73,280               8,922
               11,500          7,80,120        -1,80,720             22,134
 Top CALL Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               11,300          6,56,280          2,13,360             48,227
               12,000       10,12,680          1,73,280               8,922
 Top CALL Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               11,000          6,44,520        -2,92,440             28,931
               11,500          7,80,120        -1,80,720             22,134
 Top CALL Volume:
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               11,300          6,56,280          2,13,360             48,227
               11,000          6,44,520        -2,92,440             28,931
 Top PUT Open Interest: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               11,000       12,62,520          5,01,240             38,143
               10,000          8,38,680        -1,96,080             12,458
 Top PUT Open Interest addition: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               11,000       12,62,520          5,01,240             38,143
               11,100          5,75,160          2,73,840             12,697
 Top PUT Open Interest reduction: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               10,700          4,27,440        -2,19,240             12,207
               10,000          8,38,680        -1,96,080             12,458
 Top PUT Volume: 
 Strike OI OI Change Volume
               11,000       12,62,520          5,01,240             38,143
               10,500          7,66,920        -1,06,680             17,943

Conclusion

The market is showing early signs of recovery, supported by short covering in Nifty futures, rising PCR, and both FII & DII buying. While FIIs participated marginally on the bullish side in the cash market, their decreasing short positions in index futures indicates a potential shift in sentiment. If this trend continues, Nifty could see further upside in the coming sessions. However, traders should watch for 23,000 – 23,100 levels; which added highest open interest in Calls. Put writing activity has been shifted upwards to 22,500 level. Traders are expecting Nifty to trade within this 600 points range before monthly Expiry on March 27, 2025. A break of either of these two important levels should provide a strong directional move. If Nifty breaks above 23,100, it could trigger further short-covering and fresh buying, pushing the index higher. Conversely, a breakdown below 22,500 might lead to further selling pressure, intensifying bearish sentiment.

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